Optimal alert cycle in intelligence- security organizations

Salehi, Mahmoud; Modaberi, Mohammad

Optimal alert cycle in intelligence- security organizations

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Mahmoud Salehi ¹
Mohammad Modaberi ²

¹ Assistant Professor at Imam Bagher (PBUH) University

² Ph.D. student in Management at Allame Tabataba'i University

Abstract

The main purpose of the political systems from establishing and providing
a license to the security institutions is to use these intelligence activities
to protect policy makers from the loss of security or security threats. In this
regard, the main philosophy of the intelligence cycle is to warn against future
anti-security events; on this basis, intelligence defeat is defined as surprise and
unpredictable crisis. The purpose of this study is to explain the 'optimal warning
cycle' in intelligence – security activities and to answer the main question of
“what stages form the optimal warning cycle?”. In order to answer this question,
this study uses library study and the Delphi method in three phases and the
idea of 7 experts in intelligence and security field to reach a theoretical stability
and consensus. As a result, the proposed optimal cycle was formed with
five peripheral stages: need assessment, warning, vigilance and prevention and
a connecting core in the form of assessment and production of 'knowledge'.

Keywords